Program and Proceedings


All 135 abstracts have been accepted by the ICMCS-X. The ICMCS-X preliminary program can be found below. The final program will be released on 9 September 2014.

Conference Proceedings

ICMCS-X will not provide a paper conference proceeding (collection of extended abstracts). All conference presentations (in PDF format) will be posted on the ICMCS-X website after the conclusion of the conference. The authors are welcome (not required) to submit an extended abstract (in PDF format) to be posted on the website. Details will be announced later.

Poster Sessions

There are four poster session during ICMCS-X:
Joint Poster Session:  Monday, September 15th (18:00 - 20:00)

Additional Poster Viewing:
Poster Session 1: MCS, QPE & Data Assimilation: Tuesday, September 16th (12:00 - 13:30)
Poster Session 2: Tropical Cyclones: Wednesday, September 17th (12:00 - 13:30)
Poster Session 3: Observing Technology & Field Experiments: Wednesday, September 17th (12:00 - 13:30)


Monday, 15th September 2014
08:00 Opening Remarks James Hurrell, NCAR Director
David Jorgensen, NOAA-NSSL
Wen-Chau Lee, NCAR

Session 1: Tropical Cyclone Genesis Session Chair: George Chen
08:30 KEYNOTE: Hurricane Sandy (2012): Growth Through Multiple Trough Interactions
Lance Bosart, SUNY, Albany

Alicia M. Bentley, Philippe P.
Papin, Charles N. Helms

09:00 Tropical Cyclone Interactions Within Gyre Circulations
Philippe P. Papin, SUNY, Albany

Lance F. Bosart, Ryan D. Torn

09:15 Idealized Experiments of Cyclone Development in the Tropical, Subtropical and Extratropical Environments
Wataru Yanase, U. of Tokyo

Hiroshi Niino

09:30 Mesoscale Convective Systems at Tropical Cyclone Formation Time: Quantitative Analyses of Satellite Microwave Polarized Corrected Temperature images Myung-Sook Park, Ulsan
National Institute of Science and

09:45 Cloud Evolution and a Conceptual Model for Tropical Cyclone Formation
Zhuo Wang, Univ. of Illinois
10:00 Group Photo, BREAK
Session 2: Tropical Cyclone Intensity Session Chair: Russ Elsberry
10:30 Evaluation of environmental modulators influencing the intensity change of a tropical cyclone using a coupled atmosphere-ocean non-hydrostatic model
Taro Shinoda, Nagoya Univ.

Keishi Kubo, Hidenori Aiki
,Mayumi K. Yoshioka, Masaya
Kato, Kazuhisa Tsuboki, Hiroshi

10:45 Intensity estimation of tropical cyclones passing Okinawa by using GBVTD technique
Udai Shimada, Meteorological Research Institute, JMA
Naoko Kitabatake
Hiroyuki Yamada

11:00 Environmental Helicity and its Effects on Development and Intensification of Tropical Cyclones
Matthew Onderlinde, Univ. of
David S. Nolan

11:15 Increase of maximum tangential velocity in a hurricane as a sequence of cause and effect
Kosuke Ito, University of the

11:30 Modelling the effects of dry air intrusion on hurricane intensification and development
Robert Pasken, St. Louis Univ.
Michael Folmer, Jason Dunion,
Jeffery Halverson

11:45 Analysis of tropical storm formation and observational impact using ensemble data assimilation and high-resolution numerical simulations
Andrew Penny, Naval
Postgraduate School
Joshua P. Hacker, Patrick A.

12:00 LUNCH
Special Session: Field Experiment
12:25 KEYNOTE: The National Observation, Prediction and Analysis of Severe Convection of China (OPACC) 973 Project and Research Highlights
Kun Zhao, Nanjing University
Ming Xue, Kefeng Zhu, Yinong
Pan, Jianjun Chen, Yansong Bao,
Xudong Liang

Ben J.-D. Jou, National Taiwan
Wen-Chau Lee, Richard Johnson

Session 3: Tropical Cyclone Structure I Session Chair: Taro Shinoda
13:30 KEYNOTE: Characteristics and Impacts on Tropical Cyclone Intensity and Size Changes of Two Types of Long-lasting Mesoscale Convective Systems
Russell L. Elsberry, Naval
Postgraduate School
Buo-Fu Chen, Cheng-Shang Lee

14:00 Using a Geographic Information System to Quantify the Spatial Arrangement of Tropical Cyclone Rainbands as Detected by Ground-Based Radar
Corene Matyas, Univ. of Florida
Jingyin Tang

14:15 Moisture Budgets in Major US Landfalling Hurricanes & Implications for Rainfall
Stephanie Zick, Univ. of Florida
Corene Matyas

14:30 Structure of Tornado-spawning Tropical Cyclones: Composite Analyses of Reanalysis Data and Idealized Numerical Experiments
Kenta Sueki, Univ. of Tokyo
Hiroshi Niino

14:45 Microphysics of the air-sea interface under tropical cyclone conditions: Computational fluid dynamics simulation and laboratory experiment
Alexander Soloviev, Nova
Southeastern University
Michael G. McGauley, Mark
Donelan, Brian K. Haus, Nathan
Laxague, David Ortiz-Suslow,
Isaac Ginis, Roger Lukas

15:00 Fine-scale radar observations of boundary layer structures in landfalling hurricanes
Karen Kosiba, Center for Severe
Weather Research
Joshua Wurman

15:15 BREAK
Session 4: Observing Technology I Session Chair: Michael Bell
15:45 The Next Generation Airborne Polarimetric Doppler Weather Radar
Wen-Chau Lee, NCAR
James Moore, Jothiram
Vivekanandan, Eric Loew, Jorge L.
Salazar, Pei-Sang Tsai, Vanda

16:00 Phased Array Radar Polarimetry: What it means to the weather community Guifu Zhang, Univ. of Oklahoma
16:15 A Deployable Modular Mesoscale Profiling Network (MPN) for lower atmospheric research
Steve Cohn, NCAR
Wen-Chau Lee, William O. J.
Brown, Steve Oncley, Scott Spuler

16:30 Continuous Water Vapor Profiling with a diode-laser-based Differential Absorption Lidar (DIAL) Scott Spuler, NCAR
Kevin Repasky, Bruce Morley

16:45 Reflectivity Calibration and Radial Wind Correction for HIAPER Cloud Radar
Jothiram Vivekanandan, NCAR
17:00 A New Generic Method for Quantifying the Scale Predictability of the Fractal Atmosphere
Xingqin Fang, UCAR
Ying-Hwa Kuo

Joint Poster Sessions Session Chair: David Jorgensen
17:30 Open discussion about all submitted posters
20:00 END OF DAY 1
Tuesday, 16th September 2014
Session 5: Tropical Cyclone Prediction Session Chair: Bill Kuo
08:00 KEYNOTE: Western Pacific Tropical Cyclone Prediction in MPAS and NCEP GFS
Christopher Davis, NCAR
William C. Skamarock, Joe Klemp, Tom Galameau

08:30 Community Support for the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting Model
Ligia Bernardet, NOAA
Vijay Tallapragada, Chanh Kieu,
Mrinal Biswas, Timothy P. Brown,
Christina Holt, Laurie Carson

08:45 Case study validation of HWRF and COAMPS ocean coupling for Hurricanes Irene (2011) and Isaac (2012)
Pat Fitzpatrick, Mississippi State
Yee Lau, Hyun-Sook Kim, Sue
Chen, Richard Yablonsky

09:00 Factors that Caused a Distant Rain Event in Taiwan Associated with Typhoon Nalgae (2011) Fang-Ching Chien, National
Taiwan Normal Univ.

09:15 A Multi-Scale Analysis of the Genesis of Typhoon Nuri as Observed during the Tropical Cyclone Structure 2008 Field Campaign
Louis Lussier, NCAR
Michael T. Montgomery,
Michael Bell

09:30 Development of Dynamical Tropical Cyclone Model
Dong-Hyun Cha, Ulsan National Institute of Science and Technology
09:45 Real-Time Forecasts of Typhoon Rapid Intensification in the North Western Pacific Basin with the NCEP Operational HWRF model
Vijay Tallapragada, NOAA/NCEP Environmental Modeling Center
10:00 BREAK
Session 6: Mesoscale Convective System I Session Chair: Dong-Kyou Lee
10:30 Linear Responses of Buoyancy Induced by Band-Shaped Precipitation with an End
Masanori Yoshizaki, Rissho University
Teruyuki Kato, Kazuaki Yasunaga

10:45 Targeted Observing for Metrics with Different Strengths of Nonlinearity in a Mesoscale Convective System
Zhiyong Meng, Peking Univ.
11:00 Idealized numerical experiments on tornadogenesis in horizontally heterogeneous environments Takumi Honda, Kyushu Univ.
Tetsuya Kawano

11:15 An Extreme Rainfall-Producing Quasi-Stationary Mesoscale Convective System Associated with Changma Front on 7 July 2009: Numerical Simulation Jong-Hoon Jeong, Pukyong National Univ.

Dong-In Lee, Chung-Chieh Wang

11:30 Formation mechanism of a long convection band over the Yellow Sea
Wonsu Kim, Yonsei Univ.
Tae-Young Lee

11:45 A Simple Analytical Model of the Nocturnal Low-level Jet over the Great Plains
Yu Du, Peking University
Richard Rotunno

12:00 LUNCH - Poster Session 1: MCS, QPE & Data Assimilation
Session 7: Observing Technology II Session Chair: Hyroyuki Yamada
13:30 The structure of Typhoons Morkat (2009) and Fanapi (2010) over Taiwan’s complex terrain revealed by an advanced multiple-Doppler radar synthesis method
Yu-Chieng Liou, National Central

13:45 Retrieval of Local-scale PWV Gradient and Degree of Water Vapor Inhomogeneity using GNSS Slant Path Delays for Severe Weather Monitoring
Yoshinori Shoji, Meteorological
Research Institute, JMA

14:00 A map of near-surface moisture from radar refractivity retrieval
Ya-Chien Feng, McGill Univ.
Frédéric Fabry

14:15 Development of Atmospheric and Meteorological radars of Mitsubishi Electric Corporation (MELCO) in wide spread bands Ikuya Kakimoto, Mitsubishi
Electric Co.

14:30 A Long-Term, High-quality, High Vertical Resolution GPS Dropsonde Dataset for Hurricane and Other Studies Junhong Wang, SUNY Albany
14:45 BREAK
Session 8: Tropical Cyclone Structure II Session Chair: Chris Davis
15:00 Observations of Supergradient Winds in Hurricane Rita (2005)
Michael Bell, Univ. of Hawaii
Shannon L. McElhinney

15:15 Radar-derived Buoyancy in Hurricane Rita (2005)
Annette Foerster, Univ. of Hawaii
Michael Bell

15:30 Precipitation and Airflow Features of a Tropical Cyclone Rainband Associated with Topography Modifications Chia-Lun Tsai, National Taiwan
Cheng-Ku Yu

15:45 Comprehensive study of tropical storms as observed by TRMM V. Chandrasekar, Colorado State

16:30 Transportation to Working Dinner: Star Kitchen, 2917 West Mississippi Ave Denver, Colorado 80219, Tel: (303) 936-0089
17:45 Conference Working Dinner
Wednesday, 17th September 2014
Session 9: High Impact Weather Session Chair: David Jorgensen
08:00 Keynote: The Vertical vorticity structure within a squall line observed during BAMEX: Banded vorticity features and the evolution of a bowing segment Roger Wakimoto, National Science

08:30 Effect of warm ocean current on accumulation of low-level water vapor to cause high impact weather: Case study of 6 May 2012 Tsukuba Tornado event
Teruyuki Kato, Meteorological
Research Institute, JMA

08:45 Explosive Extratropical Cyclones over the Northwestern Pacific within Recent 10-Year from 2004 to 2013
Gang Fu, Ocean University of

09:00 Contributing Factors of the Heavy Rainfall Event at Amami- Oshima Island, Japan, on 20 October 2010
Hiroshige Tusguti, Meteorological
Research Institute, JMA

09:15 Future Changes in the Major Weather Regimes of Southeast Asia
Cindy Bruyere, NCAR
Chainarong Raktham, James Done,
Jiemjai Kreasuwun

09:30 Large-scale precursors of extreme weather over North America during late October 2007: The role of TC Kajiki
Benjamin Moore, SUNY Albany
Daniel Keyser, Lance Bosart

09:45 Predictability of an Advection Fog Event over North China: Sensitivity to Initial Condition Differences
Huiqin Hu, Peking Univ.
Qinghong Zhang, Baoguo Xie, Yue
Ying, Jiping Zhang, Xin Wang

10:00 BREAK
Session 10: Heavy Precipitation Session Chair: Hiroshi Uyeda
10:30 Cases of heavy rainfall in the Caribbean: Mesoscale and synoptic interactions
Arlene Laing, Science Education
and Research
Kathy-Ann Caesar, David Farrell,
Bradley Baker, Shem Willie, Sabu
Best, Hampden Lovell

10:45 The Impacts of Precipitation Efficiency and Water Budget of Squall-Line Mesoscale Convective System by Terrain
Ming-Jen Yang, National Taiwan

11:00 Outward-moving rainbands from Typhoon Megi (2010) and their association with the onset of heavy rainfall in Amami- Oshima Island
Hiroyuki Yamada, Univ. of
Hironori Iwai

11:15 The Dependency of Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts Skill on Rainfall Amount for Typhoons in Taiwan by the 2.5-km CReSS model
Chung-Chieh Wang, National
Taiwan Normal Univ.

11:30 Effect of isolated elliptical terrain of Jeju Island on localized intense rainfall on the lee side in moist environment Keun-Ok Lee, Pukyong Univ.
Dong-In Lee, Hiroshi Uyeda

11:45 Flow pattern persistence, Lagrangian diagnostics, and spring subtropical rains
Theodore Allen, Univ. of Miami
12:00 LUNCH - Poster Session 2: Tropical Cyclones, Poster Session 3: Observing Technology and Field Experiment
Session 11: Assimilation and Impacts of Radar, Satellite , and Other Non-Conventional Observations Session Chair: Jenny Sun
13:30 Keynote: Adjoint Sensitivity-based Data Assimilation for Radar Radial Velocity
Dong-Kyou Lee, Seoul
National Univ.

14:00 The Impacts of GPS Radio Occultation Data on the Analysis and Prediction of Tropical Cyclones
Ying-Hwa Kuo, UCAR
14:15 Developing a WRF-based mixed variational and nudging data assimilation scheme for the US Army convection-scale Weather Running Estimate-Nowcast system
Huaqing Cai, Oak Ridge
Associated Univ.
Robert E. Dumais Jr., Brian P.
Reen, Jeffrey A. Smith, David
I. Knapp

14:30 Forecasting Front Range convection using radar data assimilation and RTFDDA
Mei Xu, NCAR
Juanzhen Sun, Sarah
Tessendorf, Yubao Liu

14:45 Assimilation of Doppler radar and surface observations for the tornado outbreak on 6 May 2012 Sho Yokota, Meteorological
Research Institute, JMA
Masaru Kunii, Hiromu Seko

15:00 Impact of radar assimilation on forecasts of a heavy rainfall case Wenxue Tong, Nanjing
University of Information
Science and Technology
Juanzen Sun, Gang Li, Hongli

15:15 BREAK
Session 12: Short-term Forecast of Heavy Rainfall and Stream Runoff Session Chair: Tae-Young Lee
15:45 The Colorado Flood of 2013: Radar rainfall estimation, mesoscale wind analysis, rainfall nowcasting
James Wilson, NCAR
16:00 Integrated Hydrometeorological Predictions: A case study of the Colorado Front Range Flood of 2013
David Gochis, NCAR
Wei Yu

16:15 Impact of Assimilating Radar Observations on short-term QPF: a Case Study for the Great Colorado Flood of September 2013
Juanzen Sun, NCAR
16:30 Reproducing the September 2013 record-breaking rainfall over the Colorado Front Range with high-resolution WRF model forecasts
Craig Schwartz, NCAR
16:45 Quantitative Precipitation Estimation in Epic Colorado Flood Event of September 2013: Polarization Radar-based Variational Scheme
Wei-Yu Chang, National Central
Jothiram Vivekanandan, Kyoko
Ikeda, Pay-Liam Lin

17:00 Air-lifting-blending method for generating numerical initial disturbance of cumulus convection
Yasutaka Wakazuki, Univ. of

Thursday, 18th September 2014
Session 13: Mesoscale Convective System II/Microphysical Processes Session Chair: Chung-Chieh Wang
08:00 Keynote: Identification of misocyclone related to a tornado formation in moist environment by using data set of X-band polarimetric radar observation network in central Japan
Hiroshi Uyeda, Nagoya Univ.
Tetsuya Kobayashi

08:30 Development processes of Baiu frontal depressions: A numerical study Tetsuya Kawano, Kyushu Univ.
Tochimoto Eigo

08:45 Precipitation event life cycle in the tropical western Pacific
Yanping Li, University of
Richard Carbone

09:00 A case study of local front associated with a local severe rain using non-precipitation echoes: Complex observation of Doppler radar and Doppler lidar
Nobuhiro Nagumo,
Meteorological Research
Institute, JMA

09:15 Hydrometeor measurements by continuous and multipoint launching of videosondes Kenji Suzuki, Yamaguchi Univ.
Satoru Oishi, Katsuhiro Nakagawa,
Kosei Yamaguchi, Eiichi Nakakita

09:30 The Balloon-Borne Particle Size, Image, and Velocity (PASIV) Probe Used in the Deep Convective Clouds and Chemistry Experiment
Sean Waugh, NOAA
Conrad Ziegler, Don MacGorman,
Doug Kennedy, Sherman

09:45 The DSD characteristics and precipitation development mechanisms Hyeon-Joon Kim, Pukyong
National Univ,
Dong-In Lee, Keun-Ok Lee, Sung-
A Jung

10:00 Distribution of supercooled water droplets and ice particles in a mesoscale convective system observed by hydrometeor videosondes (HYVISs) in Palau in June 15, 2013
Yoshio Ohwaki, Nagoya Univ.
Taro Shinoda, Akira Ichinose,
Shun Hirose, Takeharu Kouketsu,
Tadayasu Ohigashi, Haruya Minda,
Hirohiko Masunaga, Biao Geng,
Ryuichi Shirooka, Kazuhisa
Tsuboki , Hiroshi Uyeda

10:15 BREAK
Session 14: Field Experiment Session Chair: Teruyuki Kato
10:45 The Nature of Mesoscale Convective Systems in the Active and Suppressed Phases of the MJO: Insights from Aircraft during the DYNAMO Project
David Jorgensen, NOAA
Bradley Guy, Shuyi Chen

11:00 Overview of orographic precipitation observation in Jeju island, Korea Dong-In Lee, Pukyong
National Univ.
Hiroshi Uyeda

11:15 Interpreting Simultaneous horizontal and vertical polarization transmit radar data collected during TiMREX
John Hubbert, NCAR
11:30 The Role of an Upper-level Potential Vorticity Anomaly in a Severe Weather Outbreak During MPEX
Corey Guastini, SUNY
Lance F. Bosart

11:45 Closing Remarks, END OF ICMCS-X