A New Generic Method for Quantifying the Scale Predictability of Fractal Atmosphere

Conference: 
ICMCS-X
Presentation Type: 
Oral
Author(s): 
Abstract: 

We revisit the issue the predictability of a flow which possesses many scales of motion raised by Lorenz (1969), and apply the general systems theory of Selvam (1990) to error diagnostics and predictability in the fractal atmosphere. We then introduce a new generic method to quantify the scale predictability of the fractal atmosphere following the assumptions of the intrinsic inverse power law and the upscale cascade of error. (Due to the crash of the uploaded equations, please see the attached file for the full abstract.)